Alternative risk-scaling method for introMCDA

1 Introduction

2 Scaling functions

__Transboundary__. Current (grey) and proposed (orange) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

Figure 2.1: Transboundary. Current (grey) and proposed (orange) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

__International animal mobility__. Current (grey) and proposed (orange) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

Figure 2.2: International animal mobility. Current (grey) and proposed (orange) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

__Accessibility__. Current (grey) and proposed (orange) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

Figure 2.3: Accessibility. Current (grey) and proposed (orange) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

__Entry points__. Current (left) and proposed (right) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

Figure 2.4: Entry points. Current (left) and proposed (right) scaling functions for the risk of introduction. The current 4-level scale is transposed to the 0-100 interval for comparability.

3 Final risk map

Final introduction risk maps using current (left) and proposed (right) scaling functions.

Figure 3.1: Final introduction risk maps using current (left) and proposed (right) scaling functions.

Final introduction risk values. Proposed vs current.

Figure 3.2: Final introduction risk values. Proposed vs current.

Final introduction risk classes, after categorisation of the proposed risk values by quantiles.

Figure 3.3: Final introduction risk classes, after categorisation of the proposed risk values by quantiles.

4 Conclusions

  • The proposed methodology is a smoother extension of the current one, yielding consistent values but more nuanced.

  • Classification of the introduction risk afterwards yields identical categories for most 95% epidemiological units, but not all. A few of them were categorised in the class immediately below using the proposed method.

  • The user gains finer control on the scaling functions (type and parameters).

  • The proposed method requires deeper understanding of the scaling concept, but simplifies the operational steps.